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KNVB Cup · round 64 · 29 October 2026 · 20:00

Groningen vs Emmen: prediction, odds and betting tip – 29 October 2026, KNVB Cup

0–2
Emmen
1Groningen1.44
XDraw5.20
2Emmen7.00

Top price available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Groningen vs Emmen, 29 October 2026 · 20:00 at Euroborg (Groningen), with E. Blank officiating. The odds point to Groningen (66%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Groningen vs Emmen: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Groningen -1 (Asian handicap)
1.69
Chance 57% · confidence medium

Wins: Groningen win by 2 or more. Stake back: Groningen win by 1. Loses: a draw, Groningen lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
Groningen with over 2.5 goals
1.99
50% · combo fair odds
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Groningen or draw (1X) at a probability of 85%, with odds of up to 1.15.
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Groningen vs Emmen: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Groningen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

    On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
    2. Unavailable: Groningen 0, Emmen 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

    Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Groningen: no absences. Emmen will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Groningen vs Emmen: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available1.445.207.00
    Market average1.394.856.13
    Lowest odds1.344.505.50
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.121.0885.4%
    Over 2.5 goals1.391.3667.9%
    Under 2.5 goals3.102.8832.1%
    Over 3.5 goals2.031.9547.8%
    BTTS – yes1.531.5260.9%
    BTTS – no2.402.3639.1%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.9%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Groningen 2–1 Emmen, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Groningen 0, Emmen 0.

    Who will win Groningen vs Emmen?

    Groningen66%
    Draw19%
    Emmen15%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Groningen vs Emmen: more betting tips

    Over 1.5 goals85.4% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.12
    Likely
    Groningen or draw (1X)84.9% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.15
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.39
    Likely
    Groningen to win66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
    Likely
    Both teams to score: yes60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.53
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals52.2% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.82
    Possible
    Over 3.5 goals47.8% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.03
    Outsider
    Both teams to score: no39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.40
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals32.1% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.10
    Outsider
    Draw19.0% · fair odds 5.27 · best 5.20
    Outsider
    Emmen to win15.1% · fair odds 6.64 · best 7.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Corners and cards betting

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.94 · Under 1.84
    probability of over 48.7%

    Correct score tips

    2 : 19.6%
    2 : 08.7%
    1 : 18.0%
    3 : 17.7%
    1 : 07.2%
    3 : 07.0%

    Groningen vs Emmen: injuries and missing players

    Groningen

    • No reported absences

    Emmen

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Groningen vs Emmen: last matches of both teams

    Groningen

    L 1/11/26 · Groningen 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam
    D 25/10/26 · NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
    L 18/10/26 · Groningen 2–5 Ajax
    W 11/10/26 · Excelsior 1–5 Groningen
    W 18/9/26 · Groningen 3–0 PEC Zwolle

    Emmen

    Team comparison

    GroningenEmmen
    85%Head to head15%
    67%Goals33%
    76.0%Overall24.0%

    All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.9%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Groningen vs Emmen?

    Groningen -1 (Asian handicap) (1.69); Both teams to score (1.53).

    Who will win Groningen vs Emmen?

    Our estimate gives Groningen a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Emmen 15%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Euroborg, Groningen. Referee: E. Blank.

    Who will be missing?

    Groningen: no absences. Emmen: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.39) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.10).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.53).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 2–1 (9.6%), then 2–0 (8.7%) and 1–1 (8.0%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.