KNVB Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag, 27 October 2026 · 17:45 at Sportpark De Koerbelt (Rijssen), with C. Ruperti officiating. The odds point to ADO Den Haag (79%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: ADO Den Haag win by 2 or more. Loses: ADO Den Haag win by 1, a draw, ADO Den Haag lose.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
What to expect
In our view ADO Den Haag hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (9.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.22), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 74%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
- Unavailable: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 54%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Excelsior '31: no absences. ADO Den Haag will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 13.50 | 8.00 | 1.22 |
| Market average | 11.92 | 7.06 | 1.17 |
| Lowest odds | 9.50 | 6.30 | 1.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 88.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.59 | 25.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.67 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.70 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 45.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 17:25. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Excelsior '31 0–2 ADO Den Haag, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Absences: Excelsior '31 0, ADO Den Haag 0.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: injuries and missing players
Excelsior '31
- No reported absences
ADO Den Haag
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: last matches of both teams
Excelsior '31
ADO Den Haag
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Excelsior '31WWADO Den HaagReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
ADO Den Haag -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Over 3.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
Our estimate gives Excelsior '31 a 8% chance of winning, the draw 13% and ADO Den Haag 79%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen. Referee: C. Ruperti.
Who will be missing?
Excelsior '31: no absences. ADO Den Haag: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 26% (odds 3.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–2 (9.3%), then 0–3 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.