EFL Cup
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Everton vs Newcastle, 29 October 2026 · 19:45 at Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool), with F. Hallam officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Newcastle win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Newcastle lose.
Everton vs Newcastle: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Everton average 2.5 goals for and 0.0 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.0 against for Newcastle.
- Form in the competition. Everton: 2W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Newcastle: 2W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Head to head. In 33 previous meetings, Everton have taken 18 wins to Newcastle's 10 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 54–41.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 33; Everton 18 wins, 5 draws, Newcastle 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Everton 5–0, Newcastle 4–2.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Everton 0, Newcastle 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Everton: no absences. Newcastle will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Everton vs Newcastle: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.44 | 3.56 | 3.15 |
| Market average | 2.34 | 3.46 | 2.94 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.22 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.19 | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.62 | 35.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.37 | 39.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Everton 2W 0D 0L (5:0), Newcastle 2W 0D 0L (4:2).
- H2H: 33 matches: Everton 18W 5D 10L, goals 54–41.
- Absences: Everton 0, Newcastle 0.
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Everton vs Newcastle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Everton vs Newcastle: injuries and missing players
Everton
- No reported absences
Newcastle
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Everton vs Newcastle: last matches of both teams
Everton
Newcastle
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
EvertonWWNewcastleWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Everton vs Newcastle?
Newcastle +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
Our estimate gives Everton a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Newcastle 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: F. Hallam.
Who will be missing?
Everton: no absences. Newcastle: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.72) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.55).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.