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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 18 November 2026 · 19:30

Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: prediction, odds and betting tip – 18 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Deportiva Minera
VS
FC Cartagena
1Deportiva Minera3.30
XDraw3.45
2FC Cartagena2.37

Top price available · Updated 4/11/26, 18:00

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Our tip for Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 19:30): Deportiva Minera +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.90. Second tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75. The bookmakers' odds give Deportiva Minera 30%, the draw 29% and FC Cartagena 41%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Deportiva Minera +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Deportiva Minera win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Deportiva Minera lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
Chance 55% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.8%). This one looks finely poised.

    On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
    2. Unavailable: Deportiva Minera 0, FC Cartagena 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

    Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Deportiva Minera: no absences. FC Cartagena will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available3.303.452.37
    Market average3.073.182.28
    Lowest odds2.892.902.20
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.351.3368.8%
    Over 2.5 goals2.092.0645.1%
    Under 2.5 goals1.751.6954.9%
    Over 3.5 goals3.753.5326.0%
    BTTS – yes1.821.8051.4%
    BTTS – no1.951.9048.6%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 4/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.1%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Deportiva Minera 1–1 FC Cartagena, roughly 2 goals in total.
    • Absences: Deportiva Minera 0, FC Cartagena 0.

    Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?

    Deportiva Minera30%
    Draw29%
    FC Cartagena41%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: more betting tips

    Under 3.5 goals74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.26
    Likely
    Draw or FC Cartagena (X2)69.9% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.35
    Likely
    Under 2.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.75
    Possible
    Both teams to score: yes51.4% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.82
    Possible
    Both teams to score: no48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Over 2.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.09
    Outsider
    FC Cartagena to win40.7% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.37
    Outsider
    Deportiva Minera to win30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.30
    Outsider
    Draw29.2% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.45
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals26.0% · fair odds 3.85 · best 3.75
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Correct score tips

    1 : 112.8%
    0 : 111.6%
    1 : 09.5%
    1 : 28.6%
    0 : 08.6%
    0 : 27.9%

    Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: injuries and missing players

    Deportiva Minera

    • No reported absences

    FC Cartagena

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.1%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?

    Deportiva Minera +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).

    Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?

    Our estimate gives Deportiva Minera a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and FC Cartagena 41%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 18 November 2026 at 19:30, venue Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, Cartagena.

    Who will be missing?

    Deportiva Minera: no absences. FC Cartagena: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.09) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.82).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 1–1 (12.8%), then 0–1 (11.6%) and 1–0 (9.5%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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