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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 17:30

Cuarte vs Girona: prediction, odds and betting tip – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Cuarte
0–2
1Cuarte18.00
XDraw8.00
2Girona1.18

Top price available · Updated 27/10/26, 13:39

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 27 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo (Cuarte de Huerva), Cuarte take on Girona. We make Girona (80%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Cuarte vs Girona: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.62
Chance 59% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Girona to win
1.18
Chance 80% · confidence high
Combo
Girona with over 2.5 goals
1.79
56% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Girona (X2) at a probability of 94%, with odds of up to 1.04. Because the result is a short price, we would add a goals tip alongside it.
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Cuarte vs Girona: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Cuarte have taken 0 wins to Girona's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 0–2.

What to expect

In our view Girona hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (13.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

With the result at a short price (1.18), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 40%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Cuarte 0 wins, 0 draws, Girona 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
  4. Unavailable: Cuarte 0, Girona 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no

Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Cuarte: no absences. Girona will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Cuarte vs Girona: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available18.008.001.18
Market average14.966.761.16
Lowest odds10.605.991.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.161.1381.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.511.4961.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4138.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.382.2541.2%
BTTS – yes2.382.3140.1%
BTTS – no1.571.5559.9%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 13:39. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Cuarte 0–2 Girona, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Cuarte 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2.
  • Absences: Cuarte 0, Girona 0.

Who will win Cuarte vs Girona?

Cuarte6%
Draw14%
Girona80%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Cuarte vs Girona: more betting tips

Draw or Girona (X2)93.6% · fair odds 1.07 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.5% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.16
Likely
Girona to win79.9% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.51
Likely
Both teams to score: no59.9% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Possible
Under 3.5 goals58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
Outsider
Both teams to score: yes40.1% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.38
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw13.7% · fair odds 7.28 · best 8.00
Outsider
Cuarte to win6.4% · fair odds 15.72 · best 18.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Correct score tips

0 : 213.8%
0 : 311.9%
0 : 110.6%
1 : 28.3%
0 : 47.8%
1 : 37.2%

Cuarte vs Girona: injuries and missing players

Cuarte

  • No reported absences

Girona

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Cuarte vs Girona: last matches of both teams

Cuarte

Girona

L 31/10/26 · Real Sociedad II 1–0 Girona
W 24/10/26 · Girona 5–1 Celta de Vigo II
W 18/10/26 · Girona 2–0 FC Andorra
D 12/10/26 · Tenerife 1–1 Girona
D 4/10/26 · Girona 0–0 Mallorca

Head to head

All matches
0Cuarte
0Draws
1Girona
27/10/26 · Cuarte 0–2 Girona

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Cuarte vs Girona?

Under 3.5 goals (1.62); Girona to win (1.18).

Who will win Cuarte vs Girona?

Our estimate gives Cuarte a 6% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Girona 80%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 17:30, venue Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo, Cuarte de Huerva.

Who will be missing?

Cuarte: no absences. Girona: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.51) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 40% (odds 2.38).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–2 (13.8%), then 0–3 (11.9%) and 0–1 (10.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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