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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 18:30

Cieza vs Granada CF: prediction, odds and betting tip – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Cieza
0–3
1Cieza6.00
XDraw4.20
2Granada CF1.67

Top price available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Cieza vs Granada CF, 29 October 2026 · 18:30 at Estadio La Arboleja (Cieza). The odds point to Granada CF (58%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

Cieza vs Granada CF: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Cieza +1 (Asian handicap)
1.94
Chance 53% · confidence medium

Wins: Cieza win, a draw. Stake back: Cieza lose by 1. Loses: Cieza lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.73
Chance 55% · confidence medium
Combo
Granada CF with over 2.5 goals
2.63
38% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Granada CF (X2) at a probability of 81%, with odds of up to 1.17.
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Cieza vs Granada CF: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Cieza have taken 0 wins to Granada CF's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 0–3.

What to expect

In our view Granada CF hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 1; Cieza 0 wins, 0 draws, Granada CF 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
  4. Unavailable: Cieza 0, Granada CF 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 54%, top price 1.80). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Cieza: no absences. Granada CF will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Cieza vs Granada CF: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available6.004.201.67
Market average4.963.981.59
Lowest odds4.703.801.45
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.2176.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.731.6855.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.162.0844.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6634.6%
BTTS – yes1.801.7353.6%
BTTS – no2.052.0046.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Cieza 1–1 Granada CF, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Cieza 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
  • Absences: Cieza 0, Granada CF 0.

Who will win Cieza vs Granada CF?

Cieza19%
Draw23%
Granada CF58%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Cieza vs Granada CF: more betting tips

Draw or Granada CF (X2)81.3% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.1% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.23
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.44
Likely
Granada CF to win58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.3% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams to score: yes53.6% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams to score: no46.4% · fair odds 2.16 · best 2.05
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals44.7% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.16
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw23.2% · fair odds 4.31 · best 4.20
Outsider
Cieza to win18.7% · fair odds 5.35 · best 6.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.03
probability of over 54.4%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.5%
0 : 110.5%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 29.9%
0 : 36.3%
1 : 36.3%

Cieza vs Granada CF: injuries and missing players

Cieza

  • No reported absences

Granada CF

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Cieza vs Granada CF: last matches of both teams

Cieza

Granada CF

W 1/11/26 · Eldense 0–2 Granada CF
W 23/10/26 · Granada CF 2–1 Valladolid
W 18/10/26 · Granada CF 2–0 Cádiz
W 12/10/26 · Burgos 0–1 Granada CF
W 4/10/26 · Real Sociedad II 2–3 Granada CF

Head to head

All matches
0Cieza
0Draws
1Granada CF
29/10/26 · Cieza 0–3 Granada CF

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Cieza vs Granada CF?

Cieza +1 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Over 2.5 goals (1.73).

Who will win Cieza vs Granada CF?

Our estimate gives Cieza a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Granada CF 58%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 18:30, venue Estadio La Arboleja, Cieza.

Who will be missing?

Cieza: no absences. Granada CF: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.73) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.16).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 0–1 (10.5%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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