Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund), Borussia Dortmund take on Werder Bremen, with R. Schröder in charge. We make Borussia Dortmund (68%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Borussia Dortmund average 5.0 goals for and 0.0 against, compared with 3.0 for and 0.0 against for Werder Bremen.
- Form in the competition. Borussia Dortmund: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Werder Bremen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Head to head. In 34 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have taken 22 wins to Werder Bremen's 5 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 75–42.
What to expect
In our view Borussia Dortmund hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 71%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 34; Borussia Dortmund 22 wins, 7 draws, Werder Bremen 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Borussia Dortmund 5–0, Werder Bremen 3–0.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 71%.
- Unavailable: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Werder Bremen will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.10 |
| Market average | 1.39 | 5.13 | 6.60 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 4.43 | 5.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.32 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 29.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Borussia Dortmund 1W 0D 0L (5:0), Werder Bremen 1W 0D 0L (3:0).
- H2H: 34 matches: Borussia Dortmund 22W 7D 5L, goals 75–42.
- Absences: Borussia Dortmund 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: injuries and missing players
Borussia Dortmund
- No reported absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: last matches of both teams
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Borussia DortmundWWerder BremenWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Over 3.5 goals (1.95); Borussia Dortmund to win (1.43).
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our estimate gives Borussia Dortmund a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Werder Bremen 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Referee: R. Schröder.
Who will be missing?
Borussia Dortmund: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 71% (odds 1.38) and under 2.5 goals at 29% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.2%), then 2–0 (8.0%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.