Taça da Liga
Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Benfica welcome GIL Vicente on 29 October 2026 · 20:45 at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisbon), and the referee is J. Bessa. Benfica (74%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, Benfica have taken 19 wins to GIL Vicente's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 57–16.
What to expect
In our view Benfica hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.28), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; Benfica 19 wins, 2 draws, GIL Vicente 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.82). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Benfica: no absences. GIL Vicente will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.28 | 6.46 | 10.05 |
| Market average | 1.25 | 5.83 | 9.31 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 5.32 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.01 | 2.84 | 32.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Benfica 2–0 GIL Vicente, roughly 4 goals in total.
- H2H: 23 matches: Benfica 19W 2D 2L, goals 57–16.
- Absences: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: injuries and missing players
Benfica
- No reported absences
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: last matches of both teams
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Benfica -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
Our estimate gives Benfica a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and GIL Vicente 10%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 20:45, venue Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisbon. Referee: J. Bessa.
Who will be missing?
Benfica: no absences. GIL Vicente: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.42) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.01).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.7%), then 3–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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