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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 18 November 2026 · 19:00

Badajoz vs Tenerife: prediction, odds and betting tip – 18 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Badajoz
VS
1Badajoz5.50
XDraw4.00
2Tenerife1.74

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 17:19

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Our tip for Badajoz vs Tenerife (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 19:00): Badajoz +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.98. Second tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95. The bookmakers' odds give Badajoz 19%, the draw 25% and Tenerife 56%. The most likely score is 0–1.

Badajoz vs Tenerife: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Badajoz +0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.98
Chance 50% · confidence medium

Wins: Badajoz win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Badajoz lose by 1. Loses: Badajoz lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.95
Chance 51% · confidence medium
Combo
Tenerife with over 2.5 goals
3.04
33% · combo fair odds
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Tenerife (X2) at a probability of 81%, with odds of up to 1.18.
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Badajoz vs Tenerife: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Tenerife hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (12.6%). This one looks finely poised.

    On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.95), which we give a 51% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 49%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
    2. Unavailable: Badajoz 0, Tenerife 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

    Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Badajoz: no absences. Tenerife will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available5.504.001.74
    Market average4.843.701.67
    Lowest odds4.163.371.57
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.291.2772.5%
    Over 2.5 goals1.951.8949.3%
    Under 2.5 goals1.951.8450.7%
    Over 3.5 goals3.403.2028.9%
    BTTS – yes1.911.8550.4%
    BTTS – no1.951.8849.6%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 17:19. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.

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    The key facts

    • Likely result: Badajoz 0–1 Tenerife, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Badajoz 0, Tenerife 0.

    Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    Badajoz19%
    Draw25%
    Tenerife56%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: more betting tips

    Draw or Tenerife (X2)80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.29
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals71.1% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.34
    Likely
    Tenerife to win55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.74
    Possible
    Under 2.5 goals50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.95
    Possible
    Both teams to score: yes50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.91
    Possible
    Both teams to score: no49.6% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Over 2.5 goals49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.40
    Outsider
    Draw25.1% · fair odds 3.98 · best 4.00
    Outsider
    Badajoz to win19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.50
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Correct score tips

    0 : 112.6%
    1 : 111.4%
    0 : 210.7%
    1 : 29.7%
    0 : 07.4%
    1 : 06.7%

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: injuries and missing players

    Badajoz

    • No reported absences

    Tenerife

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: last matches of both teams

    Badajoz

    Tenerife

    D 2/11/26 · Tenerife 2–2 FC Andorra
    D 25/10/26 · Sabadell 1–1 Tenerife
    D 19/10/26 · Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
    D 12/10/26 · Tenerife 1–1 Girona
    L 5/10/26 · Córdoba 3–2 Tenerife

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.7%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    Badajoz +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 2.5 goals (1.95).

    Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    Our estimate gives Badajoz a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tenerife 56%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 18 November 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz.

    Who will be missing?

    Badajoz: no absences. Tenerife: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.95).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.91).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 0–1 (12.6%), then 1–1 (11.4%) and 0–2 (10.7%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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