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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 18:00

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: prediction, odds and betting tip – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
0–1
1Atlético Baleares3.36
XDraw3.45
2Eldense2.24

Top price available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Balear (Palma), Atlético Baleares take on Eldense. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Atlético Baleares +1 (Asian handicap)
1.67
Chance 68% · confidence high

Wins: Atlético Baleares win, a draw. Stake back: Atlético Baleares lose by 1. Loses: Atlético Baleares lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
Chance 53% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Head to head. In 2 previous meetings, Atlético Baleares have taken 1 win to Eldense's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–3.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 2; Atlético Baleares 1 win, 0 draws, Eldense 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.5 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
  4. Unavailable: Atlético Baleares 0, Eldense 0.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Atlético Baleares: no absences. Eldense will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.363.452.24
Market average3.223.302.13
Lowest odds3.102.991.97
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.311.2872.0%
Over 2.5 goals2.011.9448.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.871.8251.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.333.2328.7%
BTTS – yes1.751.7453.4%
BTTS – no2.051.9946.6%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.4%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Atlético Baleares 1–1 Eldense, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Atlético Baleares 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–3.
  • Absences: Atlético Baleares 0, Eldense 0.

Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?

Atlético Baleares29%
Draw28%
Eldense43%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.31
Likely
Draw or Eldense (X2)71.3% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.3% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Both teams to score: yes53.4% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.87
Possible
Over 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.01
Outsider
Both teams to score: no46.6% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
Eldense to win43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.7% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.33
Outsider
Atlético Baleares to win28.7% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.36
Outsider
Draw28.0% · fair odds 3.57 · best 3.45
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.94 · Under 1.84
probability of over 48.7%

Correct score tips

1 : 112.4%
0 : 110.8%
1 : 29.0%
1 : 08.5%
0 : 27.8%
0 : 07.4%

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: injuries and missing players

Atlético Baleares

  • No reported absences

Eldense

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: last matches of both teams

Atlético Baleares

Eldense

L 1/11/26 · Eldense 0–2 Granada CF
L 25/10/26 · Albacete 2–0 Eldense
W 18/10/26 · Valladolid 2–3 Eldense
W 10/10/26 · Eldense 2–1 Córdoba
W 2/10/26 · Eldense 4–1 Oviedo

Team comparison

Atlético BalearesEldense
50%Head to head50%
57%Goals43%
53.5%Overall46.5%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Head to head

All matches
1Atlético Baleares
0Draws
1Eldense
5/2/23 · Eldense 2–1 Atlético Baleares
23/10/22 · Atlético Baleares 3–1 Eldense

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?

Atlético Baleares +1 (Asian handicap) (1.67); Both teams to score (1.75).

Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?

Our estimate gives Atlético Baleares a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Eldense 43%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 29 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Estadio Balear, Palma.

Who will be missing?

Atlético Baleares: no absences. Eldense: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.01) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.87).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.75).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 0–1 (10.8%) and 1–2 (9.0%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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