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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 18 November 2026 · 19:00

Alcoyano vs Mallorca: prediction, odds and betting tip – 18 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Alcoyano
VS
1Alcoyano6.20
XDraw4.20
2Mallorca1.57

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 18:00

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Our tip for Alcoyano vs Mallorca (Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026, 19:00): Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85. Second tip: Mallorca to win at odds of 1.57. The bookmakers' odds give Alcoyano 16%, the draw 24% and Mallorca 60%. The most likely score is 0–1.

Alcoyano vs Mallorca: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.85
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Mallorca to win
1.57
Chance 60% · confidence medium
Combo
Mallorca with over 2.5 goals
2.91
34% · combo fair odds
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Mallorca (X2) at a probability of 84%, with odds of up to 1.13.
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Alcoyano vs Mallorca: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

    What to expect

    In our view Mallorca hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.7%). This one looks finely poised.

    On goals we go for Both teams to score: no (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 45%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.

    The prediction at a glance

    1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
    2. Unavailable: Alcoyano 0, Mallorca 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

    Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

    Absences

    Unavailable for Alcoyano: no absences. Mallorca will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

    Alcoyano vs Mallorca: bookmaker odds side by side

    Match result1X2
    Top price available6.204.201.57
    Market average5.883.841.54
    Lowest odds5.563.541.50
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.361.3269.4%
    Over 2.5 goals2.162.0246.2%
    Under 2.5 goals1.851.7353.8%
    Over 3.5 goals3.583.3427.5%
    BTTS – yes2.152.0445.3%
    BTTS – no1.751.6954.7%

    Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.9%.

    All bookmakers →

    The key facts

    • Likely result: Alcoyano 0–1 Mallorca, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Alcoyano 0, Mallorca 0.

    Who will win Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

    Alcoyano16%
    Draw24%
    Mallorca60%

    We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

    Alcoyano vs Mallorca: more betting tips

    Draw or Mallorca (X2)84.2% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.13
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.31
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.36
    Likely
    Mallorca to win60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
    Likely
    Both teams to score: no54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
    Possible
    Under 2.5 goals53.8% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.85
    Possible
    Over 2.5 goals46.2% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.16
    Outsider
    Both teams to score: yes45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.15
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.58
    Outsider
    Draw24.1% · fair odds 4.14 · best 4.20
    Outsider
    Alcoyano to win15.8% · fair odds 6.34 · best 6.20
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

    Correct score tips

    0 : 113.7%
    0 : 212.0%
    1 : 110.9%
    1 : 29.6%
    0 : 07.8%
    0 : 37.0%

    Alcoyano vs Mallorca: injuries and missing players

    Alcoyano

    • No reported absences

    Mallorca

    • No reported absences

    Team news can still change before the game.

    Alcoyano vs Mallorca: last matches of both teams

    Alcoyano

    Mallorca

    W 2/11/26 · Mallorca 2–1 Cádiz
    D 24/10/26 · Leganés 1–1 Mallorca
    D 17/10/26 · Eibar 1–1 Mallorca
    W 11/10/26 · Mallorca 3–1 Las Palmas
    D 4/10/26 · Girona 0–0 Mallorca

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.9%

    Questions and answers

    Which tip do we give for Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

    Under 2.5 goals (1.85); Mallorca to win (1.57).

    Who will win Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

    Our estimate gives Alcoyano a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mallorca 60%.

    What is the date, time and venue of the game?

    Kick-off is on 18 November 2026 at 19:00, venue Estadio El Collao, Alcoy.

    Who will be missing?

    Alcoyano: no absences. Mallorca: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

    We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.16) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.85).

    Will both teams score?

    We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 45% (odds 2.15).

    What correct score do we see as likeliest?

    Top of our list is 0–1 (13.7%), then 0–2 (12.0%) and 1–1 (10.9%).

    How do you put your predictions together?

    Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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    18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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